Sunderland vs Leeds United prediction, 25 October 2026

Sunderland

Sunday, 25 October 2026

00Half time 0 : 0Premier League

Leeds United

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

32.4%Sunderland

26.7%Draw

41.0%Leeds United

Double chance

Sunderland or draw59%

Either team wins73%

Leeds United or draw68%

1.3Sunderland2.8expected goals1.5Leeds United

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.575%25%

2.552%48%

3.532%68%

4.517%83%

Both teams to score

Yes54%No46%

GG2+

No84%Yes16%

Team total goals

OverSunderlandLeeds United

0.572%75%

1.537%43%

2.516%20%

Clean sheet

Sunderland25%Leeds United28%

Win to nil

Sunderland17%Leeds United22%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw27%

WinsSunderlandLeeds United

by 118%20%

by 29%11%

by 3+6%9%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals25%2-3 goals43%4-5 goals23%6+ goals8%

Match preview · Premier League

Sunderland vs Leeds United: preview and prediction

25 Oct 2026 · 16:30Stadium of LightStuart Attwell

Sunderland welcome Leeds United to Stadium of Light in Sunderland on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 16:30. It's matchday 8 in the Premier League. Sunderland go into it 20th in the table after nine games, with Leeds United 12th, 8 places higher. Last time out Sunderland drew 1-1 at Lech Poznan, and Leeds United drew 1-1 at home with Manchester United. Leeds United are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

32%Sunderland27%Draw41%Leeds United

Expected goals1.3-1.5Over 2.5 goals52%Both teams score54%

FormEvenHome and awaySunderlandThe tableLeeds UnitedGoalsLeeds UnitedHead to headEvenTeam newsEven

Sunderland: form and key numbers

So far in the Premier League, Sunderland have won one, drawn two and lost six of nine, with 7 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 20th place and 5 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Lech Poznan; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Bournemouth and a 2-1 win away at Torreense.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded). D. Ballard (muscle injury), K. Danso (red card) and R. Mundle (knee injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

SunderlandLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

22 OctALech Poznan1-1D
18 OctABournemouth0-2L
15 OctATorreense2-1W
10 OctHBrighton & Hove Albion0-2L
20 SeptAManchester City3-5L
16 SeptHAZ Alkmaar1-0W

1.2scored a game1.8conceded a game1.2points a game

At home · last 2LW

Sunderland: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Leeds United: form and key numbers

Leeds United have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 9 and letting in 8. That has them 12th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Manchester United; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Arsenal and a goalless draw at home to Crystal Palace.

Leeds United haven't won in three. On the road they've won none of three recently (5 scored, 9 conceded). A. Stach (groin injury), D. Calvert-Lewin (foot injury) and J. Rodon (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Leeds UnitedLast 6 · 1W 3D 2L

18 OctHManchester United1-1D
10 OctAArsenal1-2L
20 SeptHCrystal Palace0-0D
14 SeptHNewcastle United4-1W
9 SeptAChelsea3-6L
5 SeptABrighton & Hove Albion1-1D

1.7scored a game1.8conceded a game1.0points a game

Away · last 3LLD

Leeds United: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Sunderland vs Leeds United: match analysis

Home and away form points to Sunderland: Sunderland have won one of their last two at home, Leeds United none of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Leeds United also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
11	Hull City	9	2	5	2	+1	11
12	Leeds United	9	2	5	2	+1	11
13	Newcastle United	9	3	2	4	-3	11
···
19	Nottingham Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	-10	5

We make Leeds United favourites at 41%, with Sunderland on 32% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

1.2Scored a game1.7
1.8Conceded a game1.8
1.3Expected here (xG)1.5

Over 1.575%Over 2.552%Over 3.532%Both score54%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Sunderland and 1.5 for Leeds United. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 3 Mar 2026, Sunderland won 1-0.

Last meetings