Petrópolis vs Duque de Caxias prediction

So far in the Carioca - 2, Petrópolis have won four, drawn six and lost none of ten, with 12 goals scored and 7 conceded, good for 5th place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, four draws and no defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Nova Cidade 1-0 away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Carapebus and a 1-1 draw at home to Serrano RJ.

Petrópolis are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last five. Three clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Duque de Caxias have won six, drawn one and lost three of their ten Carioca - 2 games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 8. That has them 3rd on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Serrano RJ at home; before that came a goalless draw away at Macaé and a 2-1 win at home to Artsul.

Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Petrópolis's home form and Duque de Caxias's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Petrópolis favourites at 42%, with Duque de Caxias on 27% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.3 for Petrópolis and 1.1 for Duque de Caxias. Over 2.5 goals is 41% and both teams scoring 47%.