Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon prediction

So far in the Segunda Division, Oviedo have won five, drawn three and lost four of 12, with 17 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 9th place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Sabadell away; before that came a 3-0 win away at Valladolid and a goalless draw at home to Burgos.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of three recently (0 scored, 1 conceded).

Sporting Gijon have won seven, drawn one and lost four of their 12 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 13. That has them 6th on 22 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Andorra 3-1 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Eldense and a 2-0 defeat at home to Girona.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won two of two recently (4 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Sporting Gijon: Oviedo have won none of their last three at home, Sporting Gijon two of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Oviedo favourites at 47%, with Sporting Gijon on 24% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Oviedo still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.4 for Oviedo and 1.0 for Sporting Gijon. Over 2.5 goals is 42% and both teams scoring 47%. Their last meeting, on 11 Jan 2025, finished 1-1.