Atletico-MG vs Bragantino prediction

Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 44 and letting in 39. That has them 7th on 50 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Chapecoense-SC; before that came a 4-2 win at home to Santos and a 3-1 win at home to Fluminense.

Atletico-MG are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won three of four recently (10 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the Serie A, Bragantino have won 12, drawn eight and lost 13 of 33, with 42 goals scored and 38 conceded, good for 9th place and 44 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Flamengo RJ away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Botafogo RJ and a 3-2 defeat at home to Bahia.

Bragantino haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won none of four recently (4 scored, 6 conceded).

Home and away form points to Atletico-MG: Atletico-MG have won three of their last four at home, Bragantino none of their last four on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Atletico-MG also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Atletico-MG favourites at 51%, with Bragantino on 21% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.8 for Atletico-MG and 1.0 for Bragantino. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 4 Feb 2026, Bragantino won 1-0.