Vasco da Gama vs Palmeiras prediction

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Athletico-PR 3-1 away; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Palmeiras and a 4-1 defeat at home to Flamengo RJ.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (5 scored, 9 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.3 against. Last time out they beat Remo 6-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Vasco and a goalless draw away at Santos.

Palmeiras are unbeaten in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Palmeiras: Vasco da Gama have won one of their last three at home, Palmeiras one of their last two on the road. Palmeiras also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Palmeiras clear favourites at 59%, with Vasco da Gama on 21% and the draw at 20%.

On goals, it expects around 3.4 in the game: 0.9 for Vasco da Gama and 2.5 for Palmeiras. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 1 Nov 2026, Palmeiras won 1-0.