Oltrepò vs Crema prediction

Oltrepò have won one, drawn two and lost six of their nine Serie D - Girone D games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 18. That has them 18th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-0 to Solbiatese away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Pontedera and a goalless draw at home to Cittadella Vis Modena.

Oltrepò haven't won in six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie D - Girone D, Crema have won three, drawn three and lost four of ten, with 11 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 12th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Cittadella Vis Modena 2-1 at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Lentigione and a 4-1 win at home to Pontedera.

Crema are unbeaten in five. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Oltrepò's home form and Crema's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Crema also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Oltrepò favourites at 38%, with Crema on 33% and the draw at 29%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Oltrepò and 1.2 for Crema. Over 2.5 goals is 46% and both teams scoring 51%.