Alay vs Neftchi prediction

So far in the Premier League, Alay have won 13, drawn seven and lost nine of 29, with 40 goals scored and 37 conceded, good for 6th place and 46 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they beat Kara-Balta 4-0 away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Alga and a 2-1 defeat away at Asia Talas.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

Neftchi have won 13, drawn three and lost 13 of their 29 Premier League games so far, scoring 44 and letting in 45. That has them 7th on 42 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Ilbirs 3-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Kara-Balta and a goalless draw at home to Muras United.

Neftchi are unbeaten in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 9 conceded).

There isn't much between Alay's home form and Neftchi's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Neftchi also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Alay favourites at 49%, with Neftchi on 26% and the draw at 26%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.7 for Alay and 1.2 for Neftchi. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 54%. When they last met, on 8 Mar 2026, Alay won 2-0.