Atletico-MG vs Fluminense prediction

So far in the Serie A, Atletico-MG have won 14, drawn eight and lost 11 of 33, with 44 goals scored and 39 conceded, good for 7th place and 50 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Santos away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Sao Paulo and a 2-1 win at home to Vitoria.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 1 conceded).

Fluminense have won 15, drawn nine and lost nine of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 52 and letting in 42. That has them 4th on 54 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Platense 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Vasco and a 3-3 draw away at Athletico-PR.

Fluminense are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of two recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Atletico-MG: Atletico-MG have won two of their last two at home, Fluminense none of their last two on the road. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Fluminense also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Atletico-MG favourites at 46%, with Fluminense on 24% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Atletico-MG and 1.1 for Fluminense. Over 2.5 goals is 50% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Fluminense won 1-0.