Numancia vs Oviedo prediction

Over the last six matches it has been one win, four draws and one defeat, averaging 0.7 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Navalcarnero at home; before that came a goalless draw at home to CF Talavera and a 1-1 draw away at Real Ávila.

Numancia haven't won in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Almeria; before that came a 2-1 win away at Ceuta and a 3-1 win at home to Eibar.

Oviedo are unbeaten in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 8 conceded).

There isn't much between Numancia's home form and Oviedo's away form. Oviedo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Oviedo favourites at 46%, with Numancia on 32% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.3 for Numancia and 1.7 for Oviedo. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 28 Jun 2020, Numancia won 1-0.