ASEC Mimosas vs San-Pédro prediction

ASEC Mimosas have won one, drawn two and lost one of their four Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 3 and letting in 2. That has them 9th on 5 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, three draws and two defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Maghreb Fès at home; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Maghreb Fès and a 1-1 draw at home to AFAD.

ASEC Mimosas haven't won in five. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of four recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, San-Pédro have won two, drawn none and lost two of four, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded, good for 5th place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Nouadhibou away; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Nouadhibou and a 3-0 win away at Bouaké.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won two of four recently (7 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to San-Pédro: ASEC Mimosas have won one of their last four at home, San-Pédro two of their last four on the road. One point separates the two sides in the table. San-Pédro also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make ASEC Mimosas clear favourites at 55%, with San-Pédro on 20% and the draw at 25%. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, ASEC Mimosas still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.7 for ASEC Mimosas and 1.2 for San-Pédro. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 54%.