Real Sociedad vs Atleti prediction

Real Sociedad have won six, drawn one and lost four of their 11 La Liga games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 20. That has them 5th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Elche 3-2 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Celta and a 2-1 win at home to Espanyol.

Real Sociedad are unbeaten in three. They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the La Liga, Atleti have won nine, drawn one and lost one of 11, with 22 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 2nd place and 28 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to Liverpool away; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Athletic Bilbao and a 3-1 win away at Sevilla.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won one of four recently (5 scored, 11 conceded).

Home and away form points to Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad have won one of their last two at home, Atleti one of their last four on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Atleti favourites at 43%, with Real Sociedad on 32% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.3 for Real Sociedad and 1.5 for Atleti. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 57%. When they last met, on 7 Mar 2026, Atletico Madrid won 3-2.