Maritsa Plovdiv vs Maritsa Milevo prediction

So far in the Third League - Southeast, Maritsa Plovdiv have won three, drawn two and lost eight of 13, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded, good for 13th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Neftochimic Burgas away; before that came a 3-0 win away at Sekirovo Rakovski and a 2-1 win at home to Botev Plovdiv II.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 3 conceded).

Maritsa Milevo have won ten, drawn one and lost two of their 13 Third League - Southeast games so far, scoring 31 and letting in 14. That has them 3rd on 31 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Rozova dolina 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Sayana Haskovo and a 2-1 win at home to Yambol 1915.

Maritsa Milevo are unbeaten in five. They have scored in each of their last five. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

There isn't much between Maritsa Plovdiv's home form and Maritsa Milevo's away form. 20 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Maritsa Plovdiv favourites at 44%, with Maritsa Milevo on 32% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Maritsa Plovdiv still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.7 for Maritsa Plovdiv and 1.5 for Maritsa Milevo. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 59%.