Parvoz vs CSKA Pomir prediction

So far in the Vysshaya Liga, Parvoz have won four, drawn three and lost 12 of 19, with 16 goals scored and 36 conceded, good for 10th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Eskhata; before that came a goalless draw at home to Barki Tajik and a 3-1 defeat away at Khatlon.

Parvoz haven't won in five. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 1 conceded).

CSKA Pomir have won eight, drawn three and lost six of their 17 Vysshaya Liga games so far, scoring 19 and letting in 20. That has them 4th on 27 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Sardor Tursunzoda 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to Istiqlol and a 1-1 draw away at Regar-TadAZ.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to CSKA Pomir: Parvoz have won none of their last two at home, CSKA Pomir one of their last two on the road. 12 points separate the two sides in the table. CSKA Pomir also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Parvoz favourites at 41%, with CSKA Pomir on 28% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Parvoz still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.3 for Parvoz and 1.1 for CSKA Pomir. Over 2.5 goals is 44% and both teams scoring 50%.