Mallorca vs Cadiz prediction

So far in the Segunda Division, Mallorca have won five, drawn four and lost two of 11, with 13 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 8th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, three draws and one defeat, averaging 1.0 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Leganes; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Eibar and a 3-1 win at home to Las Palmas.

Mallorca are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 2 conceded).

Cadiz have won two, drawn four and lost five of their 11 Segunda Division games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 14. That has them 19th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, one draw and two defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Xerez 3-1 away; before that came a 3-1 win at home to Ceuta and a 2-0 defeat away at Granada.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in two of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Mallorca's home form and Cadiz's away form. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Cadiz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mallorca clear favourites at 63%, with Cadiz on 15% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 2.3 for Mallorca and 0.8 for Cadiz. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 49%. Their last meeting, on 28 Apr 2024, finished 1-1.