Freiburg vs Schalke prediction

Freiburg have won five, drawn one and lost two of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 18 and letting in 10. That has them 3rd on 16 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 3.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Luzern 4-2 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Eintracht Frankfurt and a 5-0 win at home to Borussia Monchengladbach.

Freiburg are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won four of four recently (17 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Bundesliga, Schalke have won one, drawn three and lost four of eight, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 17th place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat A. Lustenau 1-0 away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Elversberg and a 3-1 win away at Union Berlin.

Schalke are unbeaten in four. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Freiburg: Freiburg have won four of their last four at home, Schalke two of their last three on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Freiburg also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Freiburg clear favourites at 69%, with Schalke on 12% and the draw at 19%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.2 for Freiburg and 0.9 for Schalke. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 53%. When they last met, on 23 Apr 2023, Freiburg won 4-0.