Flamengo vs Grêmio prediction

So far in the Serie A, Flamengo have won 22, drawn seven and lost four of 33, with 68 goals scored and 28 conceded, good for 1st place and 73 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Vasco 4-1 away; before that came a 3-2 win at home to Atletico-MG and a goalless draw at home to Estudiantes L.P..

Flamengo are unbeaten in six. Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Grêmio have won nine, drawn ten and lost 14 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 37 and letting in 44. That has them 15th on 37 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Atletico-MG 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Athletico-PR and a 1-0 win away at Coritiba.

Grêmio are unbeaten in three. They have scored in each of their last six. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded).

There isn't much between Flamengo's home form and Grêmio's away form. 36 points separate the two sides in the table. Flamengo also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Flamengo clear favourites at 81%, with Grêmio on 6% and the draw at 14%.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 2.6 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Grêmio. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 46%. When they last met, on 10 May 2026, Flamengo RJ won 1-0.