Afan Lido vs Penybont prediction, 18 October 2026

Afan Lido

Sunday, 18 October 2026

23Half time 1 : 1Welsh Cup

Penybont

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

10.5%Afan Lido

10.4%Draw

79.1%Penybont

Double chance

Afan Lido or draw21%

Either team wins90%

Penybont or draw89%

1.4Afan Lido3.8expected goals2.5Penybont

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.594%6%

1.582%18%

2.565%35%

3.547%53%

4.531%69%

Both teams to score

Yes56%No44%

GG2+

No77%Yes23%

Team total goals

OverAfan LidoPenybont

0.568%83%

1.536%62%

2.516%41%

Clean sheet

Afan Lido17%Penybont32%

Win to nil

Afan Lido4%Penybont34%

Odd or even goals

Odd49%Even51%

Winning margin

Draw10%

WinsAfan LidoPenybont

by 16%28%

by 23%27%

by 3+1%25%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals18%2-3 goals35%4-5 goals28%6+ goals19%

Match preview · Welsh Cup

Afan Lido vs Penybont: preview and prediction

18 Oct 2026 · 11:30

Afan Lido take on Penybont on Sunday 18 October (11:30). Last time out Afan Lido drew 5-5 at home with Swansea University, and Penybont beat Barry Town 3-1 at home. Afan Lido haven't lost any of their last three at home.

The forecast

11%Afan Lido10%Draw79%Penybont

Expected goals1.4-2.5Over 2.5 goals65%Both teams score56%

FormPenybontHome and awayPenybontGoalsPenybont

Afan Lido: form and key numbers

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they drew 5-5 with Swansea University; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Caerau (Ely) and a goalless draw at home to Newport City.

Afan Lido haven't won in three. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of three recently (5 scored, 5 conceded).

Afan LidoLast 6 · 1W 3D 2L

9 OctHSwansea University5-5D
2 OctACaerau (Ely)0-2L
25 SeptHNewport City0-0D
11 SeptAPontypridd Town1-0W
4 SeptABaglan Dragons1-2L
31 AugHYnyshir Albions0-0D

1.2scored a game1.5conceded a game1.0points a game

At home · last 3DDD

Afan Lido: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Penybont: form and key numbers

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, no draws and one defeat, at 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Barry Town 3-1 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at GAP Connah S Quay FC and a 2-1 win at home to Airbus UK.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

PenybontLast 6 · 5W 0D 1L

9 OctHBarry Town3-1W
3 OctAGAP Connah S Quay FC0-1L
26 SeptHAirbus UK2-1W
18 SeptAAmmanford AFC5-1W
15 SeptHBriton Ferry3-2W
5 SeptHColwyn Bay1-0W

2.3scored a game1.0conceded a game2.5points a game

Away · last 2LW

Penybont: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Afan Lido vs Penybont: match analysis

Home and away form points to Penybont: Afan Lido have won none of their last three at home, Penybont one of their last two on the road. Penybont also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Penybont clear favourites at 79%, with Afan Lido on 11% and the draw at 10%.

Goals, recent and expected

1.2Scored a game2.3
1.5Conceded a game1.0
1.4Expected here (xG)2.5

Over 1.582%Over 2.565%Over 3.547%Both score56%

On goals, it expects around 3.8 in the game: 1.4 for Afan Lido and 2.5 for Penybont. Over 2.5 goals is 65% and both teams scoring 56%.

Punt-X prediction

Penybont to win79%

Backed by form, home and away records and goal difference.

Every market at a glance

ResultPenybont win79%
Double chanceEither team wins90%
GoalsOver 2.565%
Both teams to scoreYes56%
Clean sheetPenybont32%
CornersAfan Lido 4.8 · Penybont 5.110.0 expected
Cards4.4 yellows expectedRed 15%

Frequently asked questions

Afan Lido vs Penybont

Afan Lido vs Penybont prediction