San-Pédro vs SOA prediction

San-Pédro have won two, drawn none and lost two of their four Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 3. That has them 5th on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to ASEC Mimosas away; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Nouadhibou and a 2-1 win at home to Nouadhibou.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Ligue 1, SOA have won three, drawn one and lost none of four, with 6 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 1st place and 10 points.

Over the last four matches it has been three wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Korhogo 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to ISCA and a 1-1 draw away at AFAD.

SOA are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell.

Four points separate the two sides in the table. SOA also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make San-Pédro favourites at 40%, with SOA on 31% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, San-Pédro still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.4 for San-Pédro and 1.3 for SOA. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 52%.