Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction

So far in the Premier League, Manchester United have won one, drawn four and lost four of nine, with 10 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, one draw and one defeat, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Sabah 4-0 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Everton and a 5-2 win at home to Ipswich.

Manchester United are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (12 scored, 4 conceded).

Manchester City have won seven, drawn none and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 10. That has them 2nd on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Porto 2-0 away; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Coventry and a 4-1 win away at Crystal Palace.

Manchester City are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Manchester United: Manchester United have won three of their last three at home, Manchester City two of their last three on the road. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Manchester United also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Manchester City favourites at 45%, with Manchester United on 32% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.5 for Manchester United and 1.7 for Manchester City. Over 2.5 goals is 61% and both teams scoring 63%. When they last met, on 17 Jan 2026, Manchester United won 2-0.