Coritiba vs Grêmio prediction, 26 October 2026

Coritiba

Monday, 26 October 2026

01Serie A

Grêmio

Braithwaite 90+2′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

43.6%Coritiba

27.3%Draw

29.1%Grêmio

Double chance

Coritiba or draw71%

Either team wins73%

Grêmio or draw56%

1.5Coritiba2.7expected goals1.2Grêmio

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.593%7%

1.574%26%

2.551%49%

3.530%70%

4.516%84%

Both teams to score

Yes52%No48%

GG2+

No85%Yes15%

Team total goals

OverCoritibaGrêmio

0.577%68%

1.544%33%

2.521%13%

Clean sheet

Coritiba32%Grêmio23%

Win to nil

Coritiba24%Grêmio16%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw27%

WinsCoritibaGrêmio

by 121%17%

by 212%8%

by 3+10%5%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals26%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals23%6+ goals8%

Match preview · Serie A

Coritiba vs Grêmio: preview and prediction

26 Oct 2026 · 22:30Estádio Couto PereiraRamon Abatti

Coritiba welcome Grêmio to Estádio Couto Pereira in Curitiba on Monday 26 October, with kick-off at 22:30. It's matchday 32 in the Serie A. Coritiba go into it 11th in the table after 33 games, with Grêmio 15th. Last time out Coritiba were beaten 1-0 at Atletico-MG, and Grêmio lost 4-2 at home to Cruzeiro.

The forecast

44%Coritiba27%Draw29%Grêmio

Expected goals1.5-1.2Over 2.5 goals51%Both teams score52%

FormEvenHome and awayEvenThe tableCoritibaGoalsGrêmioHead to headGrêmioTeam newsEven

Coritiba: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Coritiba have won 11, drawn nine and lost 13 of 33, with 40 goals scored and 50 conceded, good for 11th place and 42 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, two draws and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Atletico-MG away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Botafogo RJ and a 4-0 defeat away at Fluminense.

Coritiba haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (5 scored, 6 conceded). Lucas Ronier (knee injury), Lucas Taverna (inactive) and Richard (inactive), plus one other, are all unavailable.

CoritibaLast 6 · 0W 2D 4L

17 OctAAtletico-MG0-1L
12 OctHBotafogo RJ1-1D
9 OctAFluminense0-4L
20 SeptAVasco0-5L
12 SeptHAthletico-PR3-3D
6 SeptHMirassol1-2L

0.8scored a game2.7conceded a game0.3points a game

At home · last 3DDL

Coritiba: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Grêmio: form and key numbers

Grêmio have won nine, drawn ten and lost 14 of their 33 Serie A games so far, scoring 37 and letting in 44. That has them 15th on 37 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, three draws and three defeats, at 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-2 to Cruzeiro at home; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Internacional and a 1-1 draw away at Remo.

Grêmio haven't won in six. On the road they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 4 conceded). Danilo Barbosa (injury), J. Cabral (inactive) and J. Nardoni (inactive), plus two others, are all unavailable.

GrêmioLast 6 · 0W 3D 3L

18 OctHCruzeiro2-4L
11 OctHInternacional1-1D
7 OctARemo1-1D
20 SeptHPalmeiras0-0D
16 SeptABotafogo RJ2-3L
12 SeptHVasco1-2L

1.2scored a game1.8conceded a game0.5points a game

Away · last 2DL

Grêmio: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Coritiba vs Grêmio: match analysis

There isn't much between Coritiba's home form and Grêmio's away form. Five points separate the two sides in the table. Grêmio also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
10	São Paulo	33	12	7	14	0	43
11	Coritiba	33	11	9	13	-10	42
12	Botafogo	33	10	9	14	-8	39
···
14	Vitória	33	10	8	15	-13	38
15	Grêmio	33	9	10	14	-7	37
16	Mirassol	33	9	10	14	-10	37

We make Coritiba favourites at 44%, with Grêmio on 29% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

Goals, recent and expected

0.8Scored a game1.2
2.7Conceded a game1.8
1.5Expected here (xG)1.2

Over 1.574%Over 2.551%Over 3.530%Both score52%

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.5 for Coritiba and 1.2 for Grêmio. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 26 Apr 2026, Gremio won 1-0.

Last meetings