Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction

Rizespor have won three, drawn two and lost five of their ten Super Lig games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 15. That has them 13th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Kocaelispor; before that came a 4-3 defeat at home to Trabzonspor and a 2-1 defeat away at Corum.

Rizespor haven't won in five. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the Super Lig, Erzurumspor FK have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 9 goals scored and 15 conceded, good for 11th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Corum at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Gaziantep and a 2-0 win at home to Eyupspor.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Erzurumspor FK: Rizespor have won none of their last two at home, Erzurumspor FK one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Erzurumspor FK also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Rizespor favourites at 50%, with Erzurumspor FK on 23% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Rizespor still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.6 for Rizespor and 1.1 for Erzurumspor FK. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 28 Apr 2001, finished 0-0.