Monza vs Napoli prediction, 28 October 2026

Monza

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

14Half time 1 : 1Serie A

Napoli

Varela 43′

Hojlund 10′
Politano 48′
Marin 62′
Bruyne 67′

Match result

Pre-match prediction

Locked at kickoff

22.7%Monza

23.0%Draw

54.3%Napoli

Double chance

Monza or draw46%

Either team wins77%

Napoli or draw77%

1.0Monza2.8expected goals1.8Napoli

Every market

All predictions

Total goals

LineOverUnder

0.595%5%

1.580%20%

2.557%43%

3.536%64%

4.520%80%

Both teams to score

Yes59%No41%

GG2+

No83%Yes17%

Team total goals

OverMonzaNapoli

0.569%85%

1.531%54%

2.511%29%

Clean sheet

Monza15%Napoli31%

Win to nil

Monza10%Napoli27%

Odd or even goals

Odd50%Even50%

Winning margin

Draw23%

WinsMonzaNapoli

by 115%24%

by 26%16%

by 3+2%15%

Total goal bands

0-1 goals20%2-3 goals44%4-5 goals26%6+ goals10%

Match preview · Serie A

Monza vs Napoli: preview and prediction

28 Oct 2026 · 19:45Stadio BrianteoGiovanni Ayroldi

Monza welcome Napoli to Stadio Brianteo in Monza on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 19:45. It's matchday 9 in the Serie A. Monza go into it 18th in the table after ten games, with Napoli 8th, 10 places higher. Last time out Monza were beaten 3-2 at Torino, and Napoli drew 3-3 at home with Roma. Napoli are still waiting for a win on the road, with none in their last three away games.

The forecast

23%Monza23%Draw54%Napoli

Expected goals1.0-1.8Over 2.5 goals57%Both teams score59%

FormEvenHome and awayMonzaThe tableNapoliGoalsEvenHead to headNapoliTeam newsMonza

Monza: form and key numbers

Monza have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 24. That has them 18th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-2 to Torino away; before that came a 4-0 win at home to Cagliari and a 3-1 defeat away at Lazio.

They have scored in each of their last six. At home they've won two of two recently (6 scored, 1 conceded). J. Ziolkowski (foot injury), M. Pessina (knee injury) and Y. Maye (muscle injury) are all unavailable.

MonzaLast 6 · 2W 1D 3L

23 OctATorino2-3L
19 OctHCagliari4-0W
11 OctALazio1-3L
3 OctABrest2-2D
18 SeptHSassuolo2-1W
13 SeptALecce2-3L

2.2scored a game2.0conceded a game1.2points a game

At home · last 2WW

Monza: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Napoli: form and key numbers

So far in the Serie A, Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 2.0 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Roma; before that came a 4-3 win at home to Bodo/Glimt and a 1-0 defeat away at Venezia.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. On the road they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 5 conceded). A. Buongiorno (knee injury), Alisson Santos (muscle injury) and A. Rrahmani (illness), plus three others, are all unavailable.

NapoliLast 6 · 2W 2D 2L

24 OctHRoma3-3D
20 OctHBodo/Glimt4-3W
17 OctAVenezia0-1L
13 OctAVillarreal1-3L
10 OctHFrosinone3-0W
20 SeptAFiorentina1-1D

2.0scored a game1.8conceded a game1.3points a game

Away · last 3LLD

Napoli: last 6 results in all competitions, newest first.

Monza vs Napoli: match analysis

Home and away form points to Monza: Monza have won two of their last two at home, Napoli none of their last three on the road. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

The table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Napoli	10	4	2	4	+4	14
9	Bologna	10	4	2	4	+1	14
···
17	Sassuolo	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	-7	7
19	Udinese	10	1	2	7	-12	5

We make Napoli clear favourites at 54%, with Monza on 23% and the draw at 23%.

Goals, recent and expected

2.2Scored a game2.0
2.0Conceded a game1.8
1.0Expected here (xG)1.8

Over 1.580%Over 2.557%Over 3.536%Both score59%

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.0 for Monza and 1.8 for Napoli. Over 2.5 goals is 57% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 19 Apr 2025, Napoli won 1-0.

Last meetings