Khujand vs Barki Tajik prediction

Khujand have won seven, drawn six and lost four of their 17 Vysshaya Liga games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 11. That has them 5th on 27 points.

Their last five in all competitions read three wins, one draw and one defeat, at 0.6 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Khosilot Farkhor 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Ravshan and a 1-0 win away at Parvoz.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of two recently (2 scored, 0 conceded).

So far in the Vysshaya Liga, Barki Tajik have won seven, drawn three and lost seven of 17, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 6th place and 24 points.

Over the last four matches it has been one win, two draws and one defeat, averaging 0.8 goals for and 0.8 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Khosilot Farkhor; before that came a goalless draw away at Parvoz and a 2-0 defeat away at Regar-TadAZ.

Barki Tajik haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Khujand: Khujand have won two of their last two at home, Barki Tajik none of their last two on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Khujand favourites at 41%, with Barki Tajik on 28% and the draw at 31%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.3 for Khujand and 1.1 for Barki Tajik. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 49%.