Ethnikos Piraeus vs Afantou prediction

So far in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 8, Ethnikos Piraeus have won two, drawn one and lost three of six, with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 6th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Ionikos 2-0 at home; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Apollon Smirnis and a 1-0 defeat at home to Vyrona.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of four recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

Afantou have won four, drawn two and lost none of their six Gamma Ethniki - Group 8 games so far, scoring 5 and letting in 0. That has them 4th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, three draws and no defeats, at 0.7 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Ialysos 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Apollon Kalyt. and a goalless draw at home to Proodeftiki.

Afantou are unbeaten in six. Six clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (1 scored, 0 conceded).

There isn't much between Ethnikos Piraeus's home form and Afantou's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table. Afantou also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Ethnikos Piraeus favourites at 48%, with Afantou on 24% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Ethnikos Piraeus still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.4 in the game: 1.4 for Ethnikos Piraeus and 0.9 for Afantou. Over 2.5 goals is 43% and both teams scoring 47%.