FS Jelgava vs Ogre United prediction

FS Jelgava have won eight, drawn eight and lost 19 of their 35 Virsliga games so far, scoring 37 and letting in 61. That has them 7th on 32 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Auda away; before that came a 1-0 defeat at home to BFC Daugavpils and a 3-0 defeat away at FK Liepaja.

FS Jelgava haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (0 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Virsliga, Ogre United have won four, drawn seven and lost 24 of 35, with 34 goals scored and 85 conceded, good for 10th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Riga; before that came a 4-1 defeat at home to Auda and a 3-2 defeat away at Grobiņa.

Ogre United haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between FS Jelgava's home form and Ogre United's away form. 13 points separate the two sides in the table.

We make FS Jelgava favourites at 50%, with Ogre United on 26% and the draw at 24%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 1.9 for FS Jelgava and 1.2 for Ogre United. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 22 Aug 2026, FS Jelgava won 3-2.