Alay vs Ilbirs prediction

Alay have won 13, drawn seven and lost nine of their 29 Premier League games so far, scoring 40 and letting in 37. That has them 6th on 46 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, two draws and three defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Neftchi at home; before that came a 4-0 win away at Kara-Balta and a 1-1 draw at home to Alga.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Premier League, Ilbirs have won six, drawn 11 and lost 12 of 29, with 33 goals scored and 52 conceded, good for 12th place and 29 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.8 against. Last time out they lost 4-3 to Toktogul at home; before that came a 3-0 defeat away at Neftchi and a 1-1 draw at home to Kara-Balta.

Ilbirs haven't won in five. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 9 conceded).

There isn't much between Alay's home form and Ilbirs's away form. 17 points separate the two sides in the table. Alay also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Alay clear favourites at 56%, with Ilbirs on 20% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 2.1 for Alay and 1.0 for Ilbirs. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 54%. Their last meeting, on 1 Mar 2026, finished 1-1.