Melfi vs Brindisi prediction

So far in the Serie D - Girone H, Melfi have won two, drawn two and lost six of ten, with 5 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 16th place and 8 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, one draw and four defeats, averaging 0.5 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Manfredonia away; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to USD Palmese and a 1-0 win at home to Bisceglie.

They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Brindisi have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their ten Serie D - Girone H games so far, scoring 15 and letting in 8. That has them 3rd on 21 points.

Their last six in all competitions read six wins, no draws and no defeats, at 1.8 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Ebolitana 2-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at Bisceglie and a 2-0 win at home to Nardò.

Brindisi are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Six clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (4 scored, 0 conceded).

Home and away form points to Brindisi: Melfi have won one of their last three at home, Brindisi three of their last three on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Brindisi also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Brindisi favourites at 38%, with Melfi on 33% and the draw at 29%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.1 for Melfi and 1.5 for Brindisi. Over 2.5 goals is 48% and both teams scoring 51%.