Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

So far in the Eredivisie, Heerenveen have won five, drawn three and lost three of 11, with 19 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 7th place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, three draws and two defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Willem II; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to PEC Zwolle and a 2-2 draw away at Ajax.

Heerenveen haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won one of three recently (1 scored, 2 conceded).

AZ Alkmaar have won six, drawn two and lost three of their 11 Eredivisie games so far, scoring 20 and letting in 13. That has them 5th on 20 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Go Ahead Eagles 5-2 at home; before that came a 2-0 win away at For Sittard and a 4-1 win away at Utrecht.

AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to AZ Alkmaar: Heerenveen have won one of their last three at home, AZ Alkmaar two of their last three on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. AZ Alkmaar also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make AZ Alkmaar clear favourites at 52%, with Heerenveen on 24% and the draw at 24%.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.3 for Heerenveen and 2.0 for AZ Alkmaar. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 61%. When they last met, on 12 Apr 2026, AZ Alkmaar won 3-0.