Savoia vs Potenza prediction

Savoia have won two, drawn six and lost four of their 12 Serie C - Girone C games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 18. That has them 18th on 12 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, three draws and one defeat, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Salernitana; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Sorrento and a 1-1 draw at home to Cosenza.

Savoia are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie C - Girone C, Potenza have won nine, drawn two and lost one of 12, with 32 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 1st place and 29 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.8 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Crotone 4-2 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Bari and a 2-2 draw away at Team Altamura.

Potenza are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (5 scored, 3 conceded).

There isn't much between Savoia's home form and Potenza's away form. 17 points separate the two sides in the table. Potenza also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Potenza favourites at 37%, with Savoia on 34% and the draw at 29%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.3 for Savoia and 1.4 for Potenza. Over 2.5 goals is 51% and both teams scoring 55%.