Venda vs The Bees prediction

Venda have won none, drawn two and lost seven of their nine 1st Division games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 14. That has them 16th on 2 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 0.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Orbit College; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Hungry Lions and a 3-1 defeat at home to Magesi.

Venda haven't won in six. They failed to score in five of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 5 conceded).

So far in the 1st Division, The Bees have won one, drawn none and lost seven of eight, with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 15th place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, no draws and four defeats, averaging 0.7 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Midlands Wanderers 2-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Hope FC and a 1-0 defeat at home to Casric Stars.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Venda's home form and The Bees's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. The Bees also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Venda favourites at 40%, with The Bees on 30% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Venda still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.5 in the game: 1.3 for Venda and 1.2 for The Bees. Over 2.5 goals is 45% and both teams scoring 50%.