Bayern vs Dortmund prediction

Bayern have won five, drawn three and lost none of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 27 and letting in 8. That has them 1st on 18 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, three draws and no defeats, at 3.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat 1. FC Magdeburg 6-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 win away at Freiburg and a 2-2 draw at home to Arsenal.

Bayern are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won two of three recently (14 scored, 4 conceded). J. Musiala (muscle injury), L. Diaz (muscle injury) and M. Neuer (foot injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Bundesliga, Dortmund have won five, drawn three and lost none of eight, with 14 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 2nd place and 18 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Werder Bremen 3-2 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Eintracht Frankfurt and a 2-1 win away at Sabah.

Dortmund are unbeaten in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of three recently (2 scored, 2 conceded). E. Can (knee injury), G. Konstantelias (knee injury) and J. Lerma (muscle injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Bayern: Bayern have won two of their last three at home, Dortmund one of their last three on the road. The two sides are level on points. Bayern also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Bayern clear favourites at 74%, with Dortmund on 11% and the draw at 15%.

On goals, it expects around 4.2 in the game: 3.2 for Bayern and 1.0 for Dortmund. Over 2.5 goals is 78% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 28 Feb 2026, Bayern Munich won 3-2.