FK Smederevo 1924 vs TSC Backa Topola prediction

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Dubočica away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to Naftagas and a 1-0 defeat away at Loznica.

FK Smederevo 1924 haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 1 conceded).

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, two draws and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Teleoptik 2-1 away; before that came a 5-1 win at home to Metalac GM and a 4-1 win away at OFK Bor 1919.

TSC Backa Topola are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. On the road they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between FK Smederevo 1924's home form and TSC Backa Topola's away form. TSC Backa Topola also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make FK Smederevo 1924 favourites at 44%, with TSC Backa Topola on 34% and the draw at 22%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, FK Smederevo 1924 still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 1.6 for FK Smederevo 1924 and 1.5 for TSC Backa Topola. Over 2.5 goals is 58% and both teams scoring 56%.