Napoli vs Roma prediction

So far in the Serie A, Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of ten, with 17 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 8th place and 14 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Bodo/Glimt 4-3 at home; before that came a 1-0 defeat away at Venezia and a 3-1 defeat away at Villarreal.

Two clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won three of three recently (8 scored, 3 conceded). A. Buongiorno (knee injury), Alisson Santos (muscle injury) and C. Favasuli (thigh injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

Roma have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 28 and letting in 10. That has them 3rd on 24 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Slovan Bratislava 4-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Genoa and a 4-3 defeat at home to Real Madrid.

Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 0 conceded). L. Pellegrini (thigh injury), M. Bah (knee injury) and M. Kone (muscle injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Napoli: Napoli have won three of their last three at home, Roma one of their last two on the road. Ten points separate the two sides in the table. Roma also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Roma favourites at 36%, with Napoli on 35% and the draw at 30%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.7 in the game: 1.2 for Napoli and 1.4 for Roma. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 55%. Their last meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, finished 2-2.