Naftan vs ML Vitebsk prediction

So far in the Premier League, Naftan have won four, drawn five and lost 18 of 27, with 24 goals scored and 65 conceded, good for 16th place and 17 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-0 to Baranovichi away; before that came a 6-0 defeat at home to FC Isloch Minsk R. and a 1-0 defeat away at Torpedo Zhodino.

Naftan haven't won in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 7 conceded).

ML Vitebsk have won 11, drawn seven and lost nine of their 27 Premier League games so far, scoring 30 and letting in 26. That has them 7th on 40 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, no draws and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game. Last time out they beat FC Minsk 4-0 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Dinamo Brest and a 1-0 defeat away at FC Isloch Minsk R..

Four clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of four recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

There isn't much between Naftan's home form and ML Vitebsk's away form. 23 points separate the two sides in the table. ML Vitebsk also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make ML Vitebsk clear favourites at 80%, with Naftan on 6% and the draw at 14%.

On goals, it expects around 3.0 in the game: 0.6 for Naftan and 2.4 for ML Vitebsk. Over 2.5 goals is 62% and both teams scoring 44%.