Independiente vs Instituto Cordoba prediction

So far in the Primera Division, Independiente have won five, drawn four and lost five of 14, with 12 goals scored and 14 conceded, good for 8th place and 19 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Union de Santa Fe 2-1 away; before that came a 1-1 draw at home to San Lorenzo and a 1-0 win away at Central Cordoba.

Independiente are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Instituto Cordoba have won ten, drawn two and lost two of their 14 Primera Division games so far, scoring 21 and letting in 10. That has them 1st on 32 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Talleres Cordoba 3-1 at home; before that came a 2-1 win at home to Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and a 3-2 defeat away at Union de Santa Fe.

They have scored in each of their last four. Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Instituto Cordoba: Independiente have won none of their last three at home, Instituto Cordoba one of their last three on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Instituto Cordoba also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Independiente favourites at 43%, with Instituto Cordoba on 28% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Independiente still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Independiente and 1.2 for Instituto Cordoba. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 55%. When they last met, on 17 Mar 2026, Instituto won 2-1.