Troyes vs Le Mans prediction

Troyes have won two, drawn two and lost five of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 16. That has them 16th on 8 points.

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, two draws and four defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Toulouse; before that came a 3-1 defeat at home to Lens and a 2-0 defeat at home to Marseille.

Troyes haven't won in six. They failed to score in four of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 5 conceded). A. Ouzenadji (knee injury), I. Boura (hip injury) and Y. Kone (knee injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

So far in the Ligue 1, Le Mans have won one, drawn four and lost four of nine, with 11 goals scored and 18 conceded, good for 17th place and 7 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, two draws and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Auxerre; before that came a 3-0 defeat at home to Toulouse and a 3-1 defeat away at Paris Saint-Germain.

Le Mans haven't won in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won none of three recently (3 scored, 6 conceded). A. Bourabaa (ankle injury), D. Sidibe (foot injury) and E. Colas (injury), plus two others, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Troyes's home form and Le Mans's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table.

We make Troyes favourites at 42%, with Le Mans on 31% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Troyes still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.7 for Troyes and 1.2 for Le Mans. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 31 Jan 2026, Le Mans won 2-0.