Barnsley vs Aldershot Town prediction

Their last six in all competitions read no wins, one draw and five defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Oxford; before that came a 2-1 defeat away at Reading and a 2-1 defeat away at Luton.

Barnsley haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. At home they've won none of two recently (2 scored, 3 conceded).

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.7 against. Last time out they lost 5-0 to Ipswich Town U21 at home; before that came a 1-0 win at home to Gateshead and a 2-0 defeat away at Sutton.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Aldershot Town: Barnsley have won none of their last two at home, Aldershot Town one of their last two on the road.

We make Barnsley favourites at 48%, with Aldershot Town on 33% and the draw at 19%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Barnsley still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.9 for Barnsley and 1.3 for Aldershot Town. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 57%.