Macaé vs Niteroiense prediction

So far in the Carioca - 2, Macaé have won three, drawn two and lost five of ten, with 10 goals scored and 11 conceded, good for 8th place and 11 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they lost 2-1 to São Cristóvão RJ away; before that came a goalless draw at home to Duque de Caxias and a 2-1 win away at Nova Cidade.

They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Niteroiense have won six, drawn one and lost three of their ten Carioca - 2 games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 9. That has them 4th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, no draws and three defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 2-0 to Artsul at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Campo Grande and a 2-1 win at home to Audax Rio.

The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last five. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (3 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Macaé's home form and Niteroiense's away form. Eight points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Macaé favourites at 37%, with Niteroiense on 29% and the draw at 34%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.3 in the game: 1.2 for Macaé and 1.1 for Niteroiense. Over 2.5 goals is 41% and both teams scoring 47%.