Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction

So far in the UEFA Europa League, Marseille have won none, drawn none and lost three of three, with 1 goals scored and 6 conceded, good for 34th place and 0 points.

Over the last six matches it has been one win, no draws and five defeats, averaging 1.0 goals for and 2.0 against. Last time out they beat Troyes 2-0 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Paris Saint-Germain and a 4-1 defeat away at Besiktas.

They failed to score in two of those games. At home they've won none of two recently (3 scored, 5 conceded). D. Cornelius (hip injury) and P. Hojbjerg (muscle injury) both miss out.

Olympiakos Piraeus have won three, drawn none and lost none of their three UEFA Europa League games so far, scoring 4 and letting in 1. That has them 5th on 9 points.

Their last six in all competitions read four wins, one draw and one defeat, at 1.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Panathinaikos 1-0 at home; before that came a 1-0 win away at Levadeiakos and a 2-1 win at home to Jagiellonia.

Olympiakos Piraeus are unbeaten in three. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of two recently (2 scored, 1 conceded). A. El Kaabi (broken leg), B. Popovic (off the roster) and Clayton (off the roster), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Home and away form points to Olympiakos Piraeus: Marseille have won none of their last two at home, Olympiakos Piraeus one of their last two on the road. Nine points separate the two sides in the table. Olympiakos Piraeus also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Marseille favourites at 45%, with Olympiakos Piraeus on 28% and the draw at 27%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.4 for Marseille and 1.5 for Olympiakos Piraeus. Over 2.5 goals is 55% and both teams scoring 58%.