Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

So far in the Premier League, Liverpool have won four, drawn three and lost two of nine, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded, good for 5th place and 15 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, no draws and one defeat, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.8 against. Last time out they beat Villarreal 4-3 at home; before that came a 2-1 win away at Brentford and a 6-3 win away at LASK.

Liverpool are unbeaten in three. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last four. At home they've won two of three recently (7 scored, 7 conceded). A. Nallo (leg injury), C. Bradley (knee injury) and D. Szoboszlai (muscle injury), plus four others, are all unavailable.

Brighton & Hove Albion have won six, drawn one and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 24 and letting in 7. That has them 3rd on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read five wins, one draw and no defeats, at 2.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by FK Jablonec; before that came a 5-0 win at home to Crystal Palace and a 4-0 win at home to Kauno Žalgiris.

Brighton & Hove Albion are unbeaten in six. Five clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (5 scored, 2 conceded). E. Ferguson (ankle injury), F. Azeez (abdominal strain) and K. Mitoma (hamstring injury), plus five others, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Liverpool's home form and Brighton & Hove Albion's away form. Four points separate the two sides in the table. Brighton & Hove Albion also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Liverpool favourites at 39%, with Brighton & Hove Albion on 34% and the draw at 27%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.9 in the game: 1.4 for Liverpool and 1.5 for Brighton & Hove Albion. Over 2.5 goals is 56% and both teams scoring 59%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Brighton & Hove Albion won 2-1.