Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction

Watford have won four, drawn two and lost eight of their 14 Championship games so far, scoring 13 and letting in 23. That has them 20th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Lincoln 1-0 at home; before that came a 3-2 defeat away at Norwich and a 1-0 defeat away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (3 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Middlesbrough have won eight, drawn four and lost one of 13, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 1st place and 28 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Charlton 3-0 at home; before that came a 5-1 win away at Bolton and a 2-2 draw at home to Cardiff.

Middlesbrough are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won two of three recently (10 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Watford's home form and Middlesbrough's away form. 14 points separate the two sides in the table. Middlesbrough also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Middlesbrough clear favourites at 59%, with Watford on 18% and the draw at 22%.

On goals, it expects around 3.1 in the game: 0.8 for Watford and 2.3 for Middlesbrough. Over 2.5 goals is 60% and both teams scoring 52%. When they last met, on 25 Apr 2026, Middlesbrough won 5-1.