M'gladbach vs Mainz prediction

M'gladbach have won one, drawn one and lost six of their eight Bundesliga games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 22. That has them 18th on 4 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, no draws and four defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 5-0 to Freiburg away; before that came a 4-3 defeat at home to Elversberg and a 3-0 defeat away at RB Leipzig.

M'gladbach haven't won in three. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (8 scored, 4 conceded).

So far in the Bundesliga, Mainz have won three, drawn one and lost four of eight, with 17 goals scored and 17 conceded, good for 9th place and 10 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, one draw and two defeats, averaging 1.8 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt at home; before that came a 5-0 win away at Hamburger SV and a goalless draw at home to Paderborn.

Three clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won three of three recently (9 scored, 1 conceded).

Home and away form points to Mainz: M'gladbach have won two of their last three at home, Mainz three of their last three on the road. Six points separate the two sides in the table. Mainz also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Mainz favourites at 48%, with M'gladbach on 27% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.3 in the game: 1.3 for M'gladbach and 1.9 for Mainz. Over 2.5 goals is 64% and both teams scoring 63%. Their last meeting, on 19 Apr 2026, finished 1-1.