Lincoln City vs Swansea prediction

Lincoln City have won four, drawn three and lost six of their 13 Championship games so far, scoring 14 and letting in 23. That has them 16th on 15 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Bristol City 1-0 away; before that came a 1-0 win away at Preston and a 4-0 defeat away at Bristol City.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 1 conceded).

So far in the Championship, Swansea have won eight, drawn two and lost three of 13, with 20 goals scored and 13 conceded, good for 2nd place and 26 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, two draws and one defeat, averaging 1.5 goals for and 0.7 against. Last time out they beat Burnley 3-1 at home; before that came a 3-1 defeat away at Southampton and a goalless draw at home to Wrexham.

Four clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Swansea: Lincoln City have won none of their last two at home, Swansea one of their last two on the road. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Swansea also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Lincoln City favourites at 37%, with Swansea on 34% and the draw at 29%. In truth there's very little in it.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Lincoln City and 1.1 for Swansea. Over 2.5 goals is 47% and both teams scoring 51%. When they last met, on 9 Apr 2005, Lincoln won 1-0.