Police vs Bugesera prediction

Police have won two, drawn one and lost four of their seven National Soccer League games so far, scoring 3 and letting in 6. That has them 10th on 7 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, one draw and four defeats, at 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Al Merreikh at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Musanze and a goalless draw at home to Gorilla.

Police haven't won in four. Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank four times. At home they've won none of three recently (1 scored, 3 conceded).

So far in the National Soccer League, Bugesera have won two, drawn none and lost two of four, with 4 goals scored and 2 conceded, good for 13th place and 6 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, one draw and three defeats, averaging 1.2 goals for and 1.2 against. Last time out they beat Gasogi United 2-0 away; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Etincelles and a 1-0 defeat away at Kiyovu Sports.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. On the road they've won one of five recently (5 scored, 7 conceded).

There isn't much between Police's home form and Bugesera's away form. One point separates the two sides in the table. Bugesera also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Police favourites at 42%, with Bugesera on 22% and the draw at 36%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Police still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.1 in the game: 1.2 for Police and 0.9 for Bugesera. Over 2.5 goals is 35% and both teams scoring 43%. When they last met, on 19 Apr 2026, Bugesera won 1-0.