Accrington ST vs Cheltenham prediction

Accrington ST have won four, drawn seven and lost three of their 14 League Two games so far, scoring 23 and letting in 17. That has them 9th on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read one win, four draws and one defeat, at 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 1-1 with Swindon; before that came a 3-3 draw at home to Sunderland U21 and a goalless draw at home to Newport County.

Accrington ST are unbeaten in three. At home they've won one of four recently (8 scored, 7 conceded).

So far in the League Two, Cheltenham have won six, drawn three and lost five of 14, with 23 goals scored and 25 conceded, good for 5th place and 21 points.

Over the last six matches it has been three wins, three draws and no defeats, averaging 2.2 goals for and 1.5 against. Last time out they beat Chesterfield 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Exeter and a 1-1 draw away at Colchester.

Cheltenham are unbeaten in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (4 scored, 2 conceded).

Home and away form points to Cheltenham: Accrington ST have won one of their last four at home, Cheltenham one of their last two on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Cheltenham also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Accrington ST favourites at 49%, with Cheltenham on 26% and the draw at 25%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Accrington ST still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.6 for Accrington ST and 1.2 for Cheltenham. Over 2.5 goals is 54% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 31 Jan 2026, Accrington won 3-1.