Lorient vs Toulouse prediction

So far in the Ligue 1, Lorient have won three, drawn three and lost three of nine, with 7 goals scored and 8 conceded, good for 11th place and 12 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat Lens 1-0 away; before that came a 2-1 defeat at home to Troyes and a goalless draw away at Nice.

Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won none of two recently (1 scored, 4 conceded).

Toulouse have won two, drawn four and lost three of their nine Ligue 1 games so far, scoring 12 and letting in 13. That has them 12th on 10 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 1-0 to Lille at home; before that came a 2-2 draw away at Brest and a 2-0 defeat at home to Lyon.

Toulouse haven't won in four. They failed to score in three of those games. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Toulouse: Lorient have won none of their last two at home, Toulouse one of their last three on the road. Two points separate the two sides in the table. Lorient also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Lorient favourites at 42%, with Toulouse on 29% and the draw at 29%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 1.5 for Lorient and 1.3 for Toulouse. Over 2.5 goals is 52% and both teams scoring 56%. When they last met, on 21 Mar 2026, Toulouse won 1-0.