Venezia vs Napoli prediction

So far in the Serie A, Venezia have won one, drawn none and lost nine of ten, with 6 goals scored and 20 conceded, good for 20th place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been no wins, no draws and six defeats, averaging 0.8 goals for and 2.7 against. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Atalanta away; before that came a 2-0 defeat at home to Lazio and a 4-2 defeat at home to Fiorentina.

Venezia haven't won in six. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. They failed to score in three of those games. At home they've won none of three recently (2 scored, 8 conceded). A. Adorante (hernia), A. Bella-Kotchap (thigh injury) and B. Franjic (shoulder injury), plus three others, are all unavailable.

Napoli have won four, drawn two and lost four of their ten Serie A games so far, scoring 17 and letting in 13. That has them 8th on 14 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, one draw and three defeats, at 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Last time out they lost 3-1 to Villarreal away; before that came a 3-0 win at home to Frosinone and a 1-1 draw away at Fiorentina.

They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won none of three recently (4 scored, 7 conceded). A. Buongiorno (knee injury), A. Vergara (calf injury) and C. Favasuli (thigh injury), plus one other, are all unavailable.

There isn't much between Venezia's home form and Napoli's away form. 11 points separate the two sides in the table. Napoli also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Napoli clear favourites at 60%, with Venezia on 18% and the draw at 23%.

On goals, it expects around 2.8 in the game: 0.9 for Venezia and 1.9 for Napoli. Over 2.5 goals is 53% and both teams scoring 51%. Their last meeting, on 16 Mar 2025, finished 0-0.