Ascoli vs Palermo prediction

Ascoli have won five, drawn four and lost one of their ten Serie B games so far, scoring 16 and letting in 6. That has them 3rd on 19 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, three draws and no defeats, at 2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game. Last time out they were held to a goalless draw by Arezzo; before that came a 2-0 win at home to Sampdoria and a 6-1 win away at Catanzaro.

Ascoli are unbeaten in six. Three clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank twice. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 2 conceded).

So far in the Serie B, Palermo have won eight, drawn two and lost none of ten, with 24 goals scored and 12 conceded, good for 1st place and 26 points.

Over the last six matches it has been five wins, one draw and no defeats, averaging 2.7 goals for and 1.3 against. Last time out they beat Vicenza 3-1 at home; before that came a 3-3 draw away at Pisa and a 2-1 win at home to Carrarese.

Palermo are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. On the road they've won two of three recently (9 scored, 5 conceded).

There isn't much between Ascoli's home form and Palermo's away form. Seven points separate the two sides in the table.

We make Ascoli favourites at 43%, with Palermo on 27% and the draw at 30%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it. The recent numbers lean the other way, but once you account for who each side has played, Ascoli still come out ahead.

On goals, it expects around 2.6 in the game: 1.4 for Ascoli and 1.3 for Palermo. Over 2.5 goals is 49% and both teams scoring 53%. Their last meeting, on 5 May 2024, finished 2-2.