Burton Albion vs Notts County prediction

So far in the EFL Trophy, Burton Albion have won none, drawn two and lost none of two, with 1 goals scored and 1 conceded, good for 2nd place and 3 points.

Over the last six matches it has been two wins, two draws and two defeats, averaging 1.3 goals for and 1.0 against. Last time out they beat AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4-0 at home; before that came a 2-0 defeat away at Wycombe and a 2-1 win at home to Leyton Orient.

Two clean sheets in that spell, but they also drew a blank three times. At home they've won two of three recently (6 scored, 1 conceded).

Notts County have won two, drawn none and lost none of their two EFL Trophy games so far, scoring 7 and letting in 2. That has them 1st on 6 points.

Their last six in all competitions read three wins, two draws and one defeat, at 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Last time out they drew 2-2 with Altrincham; before that came a 2-0 win away at Mansfield and a 1-1 draw at home to Stockport.

Notts County are unbeaten in four. They have scored in each of their last four. Two clean sheets in that spell. On the road they've won one of three recently (4 scored, 4 conceded).

Home and away form points to Burton Albion: Burton Albion have won two of their last three at home, Notts County one of their last three on the road. Three points separate the two sides in the table. Notts County also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Burton Albion favourites at 45%, with Notts County on 32% and the draw at 23%. They're favoured rather than expected to stroll it.

On goals, it expects around 3.2 in the game: 1.7 for Burton Albion and 1.5 for Notts County. Over 2.5 goals is 59% and both teams scoring 58%. When they last met, on 29 Aug 2026, Notts County won 2-1.