Arsenal vs Hull City prediction

So far in the Premier League, Arsenal have won eight, drawn none and lost one of nine, with 14 goals scored and 5 conceded, good for 1st place and 24 points.

Over the last six matches it has been four wins, two draws and no defeats, averaging 1.7 goals for and 0.5 against. Last time out they beat Liverpool 1-0 away; before that came a 1-1 draw away at Fleetwood Town and a 2-0 win at home to Everton.

Arsenal are unbeaten in six. They have scored in each of their last six. Four clean sheets in that spell. At home they've won two of two recently (5 scored, 0 conceded).

Hull City have won two, drawn five and lost two of their nine Premier League games so far, scoring 11 and letting in 10. That has them 10th on 11 points.

Their last six in all competitions read two wins, two draws and two defeats, at 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Last time out they beat Kidderminster 2-1 at home; before that came a 2-2 draw at home to Ipswich and a 3-2 win away at Wealdstone.

Hull City are unbeaten in four. The defence is a worry: they have conceded in each of their last six. On the road they've won one of two recently (3 scored, 3 conceded).

Home and away form points to Arsenal: Arsenal have won two of their last two at home, Hull City one of their last two on the road. 13 points separate the two sides in the table. Arsenal also have the better goal difference over recent weeks.

We make Arsenal clear favourites at 82%, with Hull City on 5% and the draw at 13%.

On goals, it expects around 3.7 in the game: 3.1 for Arsenal and 0.6 for Hull City. Over 2.5 goals is 72% and both teams scoring 45%. When they last met, on 11 Feb 2017, Arsenal won 2-0.